Conjecture on the potential energy of a biased random walk on a tree

Let (Xn)n0(X_n)_{n\geq 0} be the random walk in a random environment on a tree, let V(Xn)V(X_n) denote its potential energy, and let P\mathbb{P} be the governing probability measure. Assume

andand

. Potential-energy conjecture. Under P\mathbb{P}, on the set of non-extinction, V(Xn)logn\frac{V(X_n)}{\log n} converges weakly to a limit law which is finite and strictly positive. This conjecture predicts that the potential energy at time nn has logarithmic scale, much smaller than the maximum potential energy up to time nn, whose almost-sure growth is 12(logn)2\frac12(\log n)^2 under the stated assumptions. The source presents this as an expectation, and gives no resolution.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Yueyun Hu and Zhan Shi, “The maximal potential energy of biased random walks on trees”, arXiv:1403.6799 (2025).

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