Direct-observation conjecture for filter stability

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Let (Xk,Yk)k inZ(X_k,Y_k)_{k\,in\mathbb{Z}} be a stationary infinite-dimensional hidden Markov model as in Section 3, with Xk∈{−1,1}ZX_k\in\{-1,1\}^{\mathbb{Z}} and Yk∈{−1,1}ZY_k\in\{-1,1\}^{\mathbb{Z}}. Suppose

Ykv=Xkvξkv,Y_k^v=X_k^v\xi_k^v,

where (ξkv)k,v∈Z(\xi_k^v)_{k,v\in\mathbb{Z}} are independent and identically distributed, independent of XX, and satisfy P[ξkv=−1]=p\mathbf{P}[\xi_k^v=-1]=p. Direct-observation filter-stability conjecture. If the underlying process (Xk)k∈Z(X_k)_{k\in\mathbb{Z}} is stable, then the filter is stable. The direct observation structure has no observation symmetry when p≠12p\ne\frac12, since distinct configurations induce distinct observation laws; the case p=12p=\frac12 is trivial because the observations are independent of the signal. Whether stability is always inherited in this setting remains open.

References

Primary source

Patrick Rebeschini and Ramon van Handel, “Phase Transitions in Nonlinear Filtering”, arXiv:1401.6450 (2014).

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