Bernstein–von Mises conjecture for the kernel variance in normal location mixtures
Bernstein–von Mises conjecture for the kernel variance in normal location mixtures
Let be an independent and identically distributed sample from in the semiparametric normal location mixture model parametrized by the model in the source. Let have a thick prior, and let carry a Dirichlet prior with finite base measure dominating Lebesgue measure on . Assume that the efficient Fisher information at is nonsingular. Bernstein–von Mises conjecture. The marginal posterior for the kernel variance should satisfy
This predicts a Bernstein–von Mises limit for the finite-dimensional kernel-variance parameter despite the infinite-dimensional mixing distribution. The statement concerns semiparametric posterior asymptotic normality under the stated prior and information assumptions.
Sources & referencesView supporting material
Primary source
B. J. K. Kleijn, “Semiparametric posterior limits”, arXiv:1305.4836 (2013).
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