Gaussian number-fluctuation conjecture for large intervals

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Let Eβ(⋅)(n;J)E_\beta^{(\cdot)}(n;J) denote the probability of exactly nn particles in JJ, let nJn_J be the corresponding particle number, and let ⟨nJ⟩\langle n_J\rangle and Var⁡nJ\operatorname{Var}n_J denote its mean and variance. Gaussian number-fluctuation conjecture. For n≈⟨nJ⟩n\approx\langle n_J\rangle,

Eβ(⋅)(n;J)∼∣J∣→∞12πVar⁡nJexp⁡(−(n−⟨nJ⟩)22Var⁡nJ).E_\beta^{(\cdot)}(n;J)\mathop{\sim}\limits_{|J|\to\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi\operatorname{Var}n_J}}\exp\left(-\frac{(n-\langle n_J\rangle)^2}{2\operatorname{Var}n_J}\right).

For bulk, soft and hard scaling, respectively, the source also gives the corresponding leading asymptotics of the means and variances. This is a macroscopic central-limit prediction for the number of particles in a large interval.

References

Primary source

Peter J. Forrester, “Asymptotics of spacing distributions 50 years later”, arXiv:1204.3225 (2013).

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