Higher-dimensional Shafarevich conjecture for canonically polarized manifolds

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Let UU) be a smooth variety, let BB be a smooth compactification of UU such that Δ:=BU\Delta:=B\setminus U is a global normal crossing divisor, and fix a Hilbert polynomial hh. For a family f:XUf:X\to U of canonically polarized manifolds with Hilbert polynomial hh, write Varf\operatorname{Var} f for the dimension of the image of its moduli map. The higher-dimensional Shafarevich expectations include the following.

Higher-dimensional Shafarevich conjecture. (B) Families of canonically polarized manifolds over UU with Hilbert polynomial hh fall into finitely many deformation equivalence classes. (R) No good comprehensive conjecture is known; Viehweg's rigidity conjecture asserts that if f:XUf:X\to U is a family of projective manifolds with ΩX/U\Omega_{X/U} relatively ample, then ff is rigid. (H) For a family f:XUf:X\to U of canonically polarized manifolds, Viehweg's hyperbolicity conjecture asserts that if Varf=dimB\operatorname{Var} f=\dim B, then ωB(Δ)\omega_B(\Delta) is big, equivalently κ(B,Δ)=dimB\kappa(B,\Delta)=\dim B; the Kebekus--Kovács conjecture gives the conditions κ(B,Δ)<\kappa(B,\Delta)<-\infty and Varf<dimY\operatorname{Var} f<\dim Y, or κ(B,Δ)0\kappa(B,\Delta)\geq0 and Varfk(B,Δ)\operatorname{Var} f\leq k(B,\Delta); and Campana's conjecture asserts that if (B,Δ)(B,\Delta) is special, then ff is isotrivial, where special means that for every pp and every line bundle LΩBp(logΔ)\mathcal L\subseteq\Omega_B^p(\log\Delta), k(L)<pk(\mathcal L)<p.

These statements generalize the finiteness, rigidity, and hyperbolicity parts of the classical Shafarevich conjecture from families of curves to families of higher-dimensional canonically polarized manifolds. The source explicitly notes that no comprehensive rigidity conjecture is known and presents several distinct hyperbolicity conjectures.

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Primary source

Zsolt Patakfalvi, “Arakelov-Parshin rigidity of towers of curve fibrations”, arXiv:1010.3069 (2013).

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